Group 2- American Foreign Policy Memo #2

 

To: The Biden Administration

From: Stephen Bogli, Matthew Dias, Spencer Higgs, Aidan Ridings, and Leah Tabor

Date: 3/20/2022

RE: Countering China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI)

 

Issue: Combatting China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) inequalities and risks


Executive Summary: China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is a global infrastructure and development plan which encompasses one third of the world’s GDP and over 60% of the world's population. Despite the BRI’s far outreach and cooperation with developing countries, our analysis of the infrastructures development indicates that certain risks have already had negative effects on both the United States and many developing countries. Included in these risks are unfair debt obligations, high amounts of corruption, and potentially irreversible environmental and social structures. To reduce these risks, we propose three strategic options: Create a United States led BRI alternative, institute enforcement on social and environmental shortcomings through judicial systems, or deter corruption using economic sanctions. In fixing the problems of the current BRI, action must be taken quickly as once infrastructure is built, it is impossible to reverse the harm that has already been imposed on human rights and the global economy.

 

Relevant National Interests: China has been seeking to expand its international influence through its Belt and Road Initiative.  Developing from an initial focus on domestic infrastructure to a broader focus on infrastructure in developing countries, the BRI’s goals have expanded since its creation in 2013.  Countering the BRI is important for American interests because of the BRI’s effects on climate and debt.  The BRI has largely sponsored climate-unfriendly infrastructure projects, most notably coal-fired power plants, which could damage efforts by the U.S., China, and other countries to respond to the climate crisis and mitigate the effects of climate change.  It has been argued that the BRI has increased debt for developing countries and could damage these countries’ abilities to pay their debts, especially while trying to navigate the coronavirus pandemic and the lack of vaccine equity throughout the world.  Increasing debt in other developing countries could weaken their governments and ultimately hurt trade, national security, and other important points of interest that could ultimately create instability within these countries before ultimately also harming U.S. interests.  Can the U.S. and its allies successfully offer an alternative to the BRI, as is underway with the Build Back Better World (B3W) initiative?

 

Analysis: Chinese President Xi Jinping’s signature foreign policy undertaking, the Belt and Road Initiative, is now considered the world’s largest infrastructure program. Although the BRI began as an effort to connect China’s modernized, coastal cities to its underdeveloped interior and bordering neighbors, the initiative quickly outgrew is regional corridors. There are currently 139 countries involved in the initiative; members include U.S. allies and partners such as Greece, Italy, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, as well as countries that align geopolitically with China such as Cambodia and Laos. Since the initiative’s launch in 2013, Chinese corporations and banks have financed the building and development of power plants, railways, highways, ports, telecommunications infrastructure, fiber-optic cables, smart cities, and other projects around the world. The vast majority of these infrastructure projects have taken place in developing nations. If implemented sustainably and responsibly, the BRI holds the potential to meet the infrastructure and economic needs of numerous developing countries. A 2019 study conducted by economic consultants forecasted that the BRI was likely to boost world GDP by $7.1 trillion per annum by the year 2040.[1] However, there are several reasons why the United States should be wary of the Belt and Road Initiative.

·   The BRI is a central component of Xi’s “Major Country Diplomacy” strategy, which calls for China’s assumption of greater global leadership.[2] The initiative would subsidize privileged market entry for state-owned and non-market oriented Chinese companies and enable China to exert serious political pressure and project its power more widely. The BRI’s implementation of Chinese technology and technical standards would also give China the opportunity to lock developing countries into a state of dependency. The BRI may also enable China to exert a destabilizing amount of economic pressure over the energy sector; in totality, the initiative intends to “affect” three-quarters of the known energy reserves in the world.[3]

·   The initiative’s funding of “economically questionable projects” in heavily indebted countries without the utilization of expert debt sustainability analysis has the potential to undermine global stability and increase the likelihood of a near-future debt crisis.[4]

·   While BRI members are diverse, states that have refrained from joining the initiative are generally more          democratic, politically stable, and economically developed than those who have endorsed and participated in the initiative.[5]

·   The BRI’s dependence on carbon-intensive infrastructure will complicate climate change mitigation by ensuring a decades long dependence on coal-fired power plants.[6]

 

Strategic Options:

Strategy One: Create alternatives to the BRI for developing countries.

 

This could be done by expanding existing systems and practices found in the United States Export-Import Bank, the World Bank, the Blue Dot Network, and the Build Back Better World (B3W) programs and institutions featuring American participation.  Increasing American funding would be a major part of this proposal.  Current American intervention is ineffective because it only focuses on addressing part of the problem.  The Blue Dot Network (BDN) fails to fund its projects and only supervises and certifies existing projects.[7]  However, even with its flaws, India has been interested in potentially participating in BDN programs.[8]  Continuing to collaborate with America’s partners in the Group of 7 (G7) countries could also help motivate investment.  Increasing funding though the U.S. Export-Import Bank could successfully complete more infrastructure projects and perhaps even ‘complete’ BRI-led projects by making them more climate-friendly: for example, electrifying rail lines and converting power plants to make them more efficient.  Increasing trade with strategic regional allies and partners like Japan, India, and Australia could encourage more participation from allies and partners and ultimately help these development projects succeed and benefit both developed and developing countries.

 

Pros: The United States decreased funding for developing countries under the Trump administration; reversing this trend could benefit interests both for the U.S. and developing countries.  Programs led by the U.S. and allies can, and should, focus more on promoting climate-friendly and gender equality actions and investments in these countries, as China’s investments have largely been coal-fired and dangerous for climate change.[9] Focusing on climate-friendly responses would strengthen the U.S.’ influence as a leader in responding to climate change and could work to reduce risks posed by climate change.  Offering a strong alternative to the BRI could encourage competition and ultimately incite both the BRI and a U.S.-led coalition alternative to work to improve their own standards, which would benefit the U.S., its allies and partners, China, and developing countries.  The United States and its G7 partners could also be more successful than China in ensuring transparency, about the lack of which has drawn criticism from the World Bank and others.[10]

 

Cons: This funding increase would likely be difficult to implement, especially with likely gridlock in Congress.  As the national Build Back Better projects have mostly stalled in Congress, it may be difficult to gain support for international development as the U.S., like all nations, tries to rebuild after the damage caused by the coronavirus pandemic.  Like the BRI, the U.S. Export-Import Bank has itself participated in climate-harming projects.  If standards at the Export-Import Bank were not revised, the U.S. could ultimately harm the planet in a similar way as the BRI.  This would limit U.S. influence abroad, especially with the efforts of the Biden administration (and previously the Obama administration) to respond to climate change and mitigate risks. 

 

Strategy Two: Institute enforcement on environmental, social, and governance factors of the Belt and Road Initiative through investment and a rejuvenated judicial system.

 

Research from scholarly social institutions provides insight on current environmental and social issues regarding labor within the Belt and Road Initiative. Through the institution of green investment and United Nation Sustainable Development Goals along with the implementation of labor courts within developing countries, it may be possible to alleviate many problems that disproportionately affect lower-income individuals across the globe.

 

Pros: The current Belt and Road Initiative struggles both environmentally and in the protection of labor laws. While economists may point out the added value of the BRI, they fail to consider studies by the World Wildlife Fund (WWF) and Council on Foreign Relations (CFR). The WWF, who primarily studies the effects of climate change on wildlife, concluded that the Belt and Road Initiative overlaps 1,739 biodiverse areas where China’s use of non-renewable coal energy may directly threaten up to 265 species of animals and promote deforestation. We establish support and recommend the WWF’s primary solution of direct financial investment into environmental technical services and implementation of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals to ensure a greener BRI.[11] Regarding labor laws, research by the Council on Foreign Relations indicates that China is using their own citizen's labor in other countries to drive down labor costs and increase productivity. This is an inherent problem to other developing countries as the BRI was initially seen as a way to increase local hirings and wages. Additionally, there have been reports of inhumane working conditions within the BRI.[12] To solve these problems, we recommend that the United States invest in judicial labor court systems and investigation agencies within developing countries to promote a more equal labor system in countries under the Belt and Road Initiative.

 

Cons: The principal downturn to enforcing environmental, social, and governance factors within the Belt and Road Initiative is the cost. The United States is currently not a part of the BRI, and would rather work with G7 countries. For this reason, any investment into the BRI would directly support a cause where that the United States does not stand to see immediate monetary benefits. Such an investment would not only need bipartisan support between the two major U.S. parties but may also not be a favorable investment in the eyes of U.S. citizens struggling on the back of a pandemic and energy crisis. To counteract this downside, a United States alternative could encourage the G7 to establish a partnership with China and the BRI, promoting a more environmentally and developmentally friendly global economy while ensuring that the U.S. also stands to benefit.

 

Strategy Three: Deter corruption within the Belt and Road Initiative through use of economic sanctions.

           

In 2019, President Xi pledged during a summit that China’s BRI will “focus on transparency and clean governance”. During this summit, President Xi reiterated that “Everything should be done in a transparent way and we should have zero tolerance for corruption”.[13] Since this speech, corruption has spread from China to the countries in which their BRI runs through. Corruption is mostly seen in countries which China partners with, some of which struggle to keep a hold on corruption to begin with. Most corruption happens in areas where large scale projects are taking place as it is easier to hand off money in such situations.[14] In some cases, this money is not only pocketed, but sent back to China.[15] Currently the U.S. has placed sanctions on China and the Belt and Road Initiative, but it is not going far enough to stop the corruption. The BRI has led to China pumping billions of dollars into corrupt governments and regimes, further intensifying the corruption.[16] Thus, proving that the current sanctions are inadequate and that they need to be changed. As it stands, the U.S. has sanctioned companies which work with China to develop their Belt and Road Initiative.[17] At one time, the U.S. placed sanctions on Chinese firms which barred them from doing business with U.S. corporations. The sanctions specifically targeted one specific major player in China called the Chinese Communications Construction Company (CCCC) who is responsible for much of the development within the BRI.[18]

            Pros: Implementing stronger sanctions could further limit the spread of the BRI initiative if the correct “targets” are hit, such as the CCCC who’s dealings with the U.S. had been previously sanctioned.[19] Doing so may promote other countries to limit their dealings with specific companies in China, as they are sanctioned by the U.S. (in hopes of giving a warning). Overall, placing sanctions on the BRI may persuade partner countries to find a way out of their agreements, and persuade other counties NOT to engage in the BRI with China.[20] Also, the use of stronger sanctions comes with the fact that China and the U.S. are major trade partners. The potential money that the Chinese could lose due to the strengthened sanctions could, theoretically, slow progress on the BRI.

Cons: As The New Yorker mentions, sanctions are something that are not instantaneous, and the impacts can take a while to be seen. On that same note, The New Yorker states that sanctions do not tend to be the driving factor behind the targets change in ideologies and actions (which would present an issue here).[21] Further sanctioning China’s Belt and Road initiative brings with it the concern that China could turn around and sanction you. In some cases, sanctions have been seen to impact the citizens of those countries being sanctioned. Sanctions which are “too heavy” can lead to humanitarian crises.[22] Placing sanctions on China because of the corruption within the BRI may have unintended consequences for countries who “participate” in the BRI. When combining the BRI debt that China has, and the countries who borrow from China, the sanctions could have a ripple effect harming countries who got roped into the BRI.[23] As it stands, many of the countries tied into the BRI are U.S. allies who may feel the impacts of sanctions on China.[24] Increasing sanctions can also have negative consequences as the tensions with China may heighten to a new level.

 

Recommendation:

            Our recommendation to the Biden Administration is to create effective alternatives to the Belt and Road Initiative so that developing nations may have access to many potential positive benefits.

 

Implementation: Following our recommendation, the Biden Administration would need to develop and present several effective alternatives that would appeal to developing countries and the United States, ensuring America has enough of a foothold within these institutions. Institutions like the World Bank, the Blue Dot Network, and the Build Back Better World can be seen as models in terms of global funding and large-scale acceptance. This in turn would result in the increased availability, appeal, and benefits to the United States and other member countries, while also combatting the inequality and risks acquainted with China’s BRI.

 

Talking Points:

·       Expanding and Revitalizing Existing Systems: Foundational in this strategy is the rejuvenation of existing systems and practices such as the US Export-Import Bank, the World Bank, the Blue Dot Network, and the B3W programs and institutions which will provide developing countries a competitive alternative to China’s BRI.

·       Developing Stronger Relationships with Strategic Regional and Economic Allies: Making an effort to develop stronger relationships with strategic allies such as Japan, Australia, and India will benefit the United States economically long-term. In addition, these invigorated relationships will ease the financial burden of America’s investment into revitalizing these global organizations.

·       Reentering the World Stage: America’s display of strong leadership, especially in defense of global climate, labor, and economic concerns, will help mend the country’s global image and set us up for a new generation of American strength, influence, and integrity

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

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Cafiero, Giorgio. “Defying Us Caesar Act, China Admits Syria into Bri.” The Cradle. The Cradle, January 14, 2022. https://thecradle.co/Article/analysis/5769

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Elliot, Kimberly Ann. “Evidence on the Costs and Benefits of Economic Sanctions.” PIIE. Peterson Institute for International Economics, December 24, 2018. https://www.piie.com/commentary/testimonies/evidence-costs-and-benefits-economic-sanctions

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Walden, Max. “'Like an Episode of Utopia': What Is the Blue Dot Network?” ABC News. ABC News, November 9, 2019. https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-11-09/blue-dot-network-explainer-us-china-belt-and-road/11682454

Widakuswara, Patsy. “'Build Back Better World': Biden's Counter to China's Belt and Road.” VOA. 'Build Back Better World': Biden's Counter to China's Belt and Road, November 4, 2021. https://www.voanews.com/a/build-back-better-world-biden-s-counter-to-china-s-belt-and-road/6299568.html

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Yang, Hai, and Baldwin Van Gorp. “A Frame Analysis of Political-Media Discourse on the Belt and Road Initiative: Evidence from China, Australia, India, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States.” Cambridge Review of International Affairs, 2021, 1–27. https://doi.org/10.1080/09557571.2021.1968794

 

 

 

 



[2] Chatzky, and McBride. “China's Massive Belt and Road Initiative.” Council on Foreign Relations, Council on Foreign Relations, https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/chinas-massive-belt-and-road-initiative.

[3] Jesus Hermoso and Maria V Fermin, “The Venezuela-China Relationship, Explained: Belt and Road: Part 2 of 4,” SupChina, October 27, 2021, https://supchina.com/2019/01/14/venezuela-china-explained-2/.

[4] David Sacks and Jennifer Hillman, “How the U.S. Should Respond to China's Belt and Road,” Council on Foreign Relations (Council on Foreign Relations, March 2021), https://www.cfr.org/report/chinas-belt-and-road-implications-for-the-united-states/.

[5] Jack Nolan and Wendy Leutert, “Signing up or Standing aside: Disaggregating Participation in China's Belt and Road Initiative,” Brookings (Brookings, March 9, 2022), https://www.brookings.edu/articles/signing-up-or-standing-aside-disaggregating-participation-in-chinas-belt-and-road-initiative/.

[6] David Sacks and Jennifer Hillman, “How the U.S. Should Respond to China's Belt and Road,” Council on Foreign Relations (Council on Foreign Relations, March 2021), https://www.cfr.org/report/chinas-belt-and-road-implications-for-the-united-states/.

[7] Jerre V Hansbrough, “FROM THE BLUE DOT NETWORK TO THE BLUE DOT MARKETPLACE: A WAY TO COOPERATE IN STRATEGIC COMPETITION,” Hindsight, Insight, Foresight: Thinking about Security in the Indo-Pacific, 2020, pp. 179-189, https://apcss.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/11-Hansborough-25thA.pdf.

[8]  Abhishek Kumar, “’Blue Dot Network’: Idea, Objectives and Implications for China’s ‘Belt and Road Initiative.’”  InteInternational Journal of Novel Research in Humanity and Social Sciences Vol. 7 Issue 4 (July-August 2020).  httphttps://www.noveltyjournals.com/upload/paper/paperpdf-1598528336.pdf.

[9] Jerre V Hansbrough, “FROM THE BLUE DOT NETWORK TO THE BLUE DOT MARKETPLACE: A WAY TO COOPERATE IN STRATEGIC COMPETITION,” Hindsight, Insight, Foresight: Thinking about Security in the Indo-Pacific, 2020, pp. 179-189, https://apcss.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/11-Hansborough-25thA.pdf.

[10] David Lawder, “World Bank: China's Belt and Road Can Speed Development, Needs Transparency,” Reuters (Thomson Reuters, June 18, 2019), https://www.reuters.com/article/us-worldbank-china-belt-idUSKCN1TJ2IX.

[11] “WWF and Greening the Belt and Road Initiative,” WWF Hong Kong (WWF, November 2, 2017), https://www.wwf.org.hk/en/?19680%2FFeature-Story-WWF-and-Greening-the-Belt-and-Road-Initiative.

[12] Jennifer Hillman and Alex Tippett, “Who Built That? Labor and the Belt and Road Initiative,” Council on Foreign Relations (Council on Foreign Relations, July 6, 2021), https://www.cfr.org/blog/who-built-labor-and-belt-and-road-initiative.

[13] Al Jazeera, “China's XI Pledges to 'Fight Corruption' at Belt and Road Summit,” Xi Jinping | Al Jazeera (Al Jazeera, April 26, 2019), https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2019/4/26/chinas-xi-pledges-to-fight-corruption-at-belt-and-road-summit.

[14] Jason Tower and Jennifer Staats, “China's Belt and Road: Progress on 'Open, Green and Clean?',” United States Institute of Peace (USIP, April 29, 2020), https://www.usip.org/publications/2020/04/chinas-belt-and-road-progress-open-green-and-clean.

[15] Jason Tower and Jennifer Staats, “China's Belt and Road: Progress on 'Open, Green and Clean?',” United States Institute of Peace (USIP, April 29, 2020), https://www.usip.org/publications/2020/04/chinas-belt-and-road-progress-open-green-and-clean.

[16] Johnathan E Hillman, “Corruption Flows along China's Belt and Road,” Corruption Flows Along China's Belt and Road | Center for Strategic and International Studies (Center for Strategic and International Studies), accessed March 19, 2022, https://www.csis.org/analysis/corruption-flows-along-chinas-belt-and-road.

[17] Shannon Tiezzi, “With Latest Sanctions, US Casts a Shadow over China's Belt and Road,” The Diplomat (The Diplomat, August 28, 2020), https://thediplomat.com/2020/08/with-latest-sanctions-us-casts-a-shadow-over-chinas-belt-and-road/.

[18] Shannon Tiezzi, “With Latest Sanctions, US Casts a Shadow over China's Belt and Road,” The Diplomat (The Diplomat, August 28, 2020), https://thediplomat.com/2020/08/with-latest-sanctions-us-casts-a-shadow-over-chinas-belt-and-road/.

[19] Shannon Tiezzi, “With Latest Sanctions, US Casts a Shadow over China's Belt and Road,” The Diplomat (The Diplomat, August 28, 2020), https://thediplomat.com/2020/08/with-latest-sanctions-us-casts-a-shadow-over-chinas-belt-and-road/.

[20] Shannon Tiezzi, “With Latest Sanctions, US Casts a Shadow over China's Belt and Road,” The Diplomat (The Diplomat, August 28, 2020), https://thediplomat.com/2020/08/with-latest-sanctions-us-casts-a-shadow-over-chinas-belt-and-road/.

[21] Robin Wright, “Why Sanctions Too Often Fail,” The New Yorker (The New Yorker , March 7, 2022), https://www.newyorker.com/news/daily-comment/why-sanctions-too-often-fail.

[22] Richard Hanania, “Ineffective, Immoral, Politically Convenient: America’s Overreliance on Economic Sanctions and What to Do about It,” Cato.org (CATO Institute, February 18, 2020), https://www.cato.org/policy-analysis/ineffective-immoral-politically-convenient-americas-overreliance-economic-sanctions#introduction.

[23] Jessica C Liao, “How Bri Debt Puts China at Risk,” – The Diplomat (for The Diplomat, October 27, 2021), https://thediplomat.com/2021/10/how-bri-debt-puts-china-at-risk/.

[24] Giorgio Cafiero, “Defying Us Caesar Act, China Admits Syria into Bri,” The Cradle (The Cradle, January 14, 2022), https://thecradle.co/Article/analysis/5769.

 

Comments

  1. Lucas Colaci

    I like that this group proposed an alternative. I think this is a great and realistic idea. This would also help prove to the world that the united states is "back" and supporting its allies and being a true world leader. This is a great opportunity to step up to the plate to challenge China with low risk of the situation turning into a military altercation.

    ReplyDelete
  2. This was a very interesting memo to read! I really enjoyed how you broke up the potential solutions into a summary and explanation, then a pro and con list. This really made it a lot easier to understand both sides of the potential solutions to this issue, and helped grasp how truly complex this situation is. I also really agreed with the cons on the economic sanctions, as I feel they sometimes effect the innocent civilians more than the leaders, making it not as effective. It is a tricky situation, but hopefully the US will be able to find a way to assist in this situation in a way that does not put us or the citizens of China at too much of a disadvantage.

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  3. I really enjoyed reading this memo. I wasn't fully aware of the full extent of China's Belt and Road Initiative. The memo does a good job with giving a good background of what it is, how it is impactful, and lays out three detailed options for what the Biden Administration can do. These options also have defined pros and cons, which is unique when writing a memo. In my opinion, the best option would be the 1st option. Obviously Congressional gridlock would be difficult to overcome, but if Biden depicted an American BRI as a Marshall Plan type of project, and got NATO allies on board, maybe others would get behind the initiative. Sanctioning China may be effective; however, I fear they may sanction us back, and that would certainly not be in America's interest. Overall great job with the memo

    - Andrew P

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  4. I thoroughly enjoyed reading this memo. Lacking knowledge of China's Belt and Road Initiative meant nothing after reading the memo. It gave a very good background on what it is and what the impact is. I also appreciate the information on what the Biden Administration could do. The memo was very clear and the ideas were laid out very well.

    - Vahn

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  5. This was a very well written and thorough memo. The China Belt and Road initiative was not something I was familiar with before reading this memo. The strategic option section was also fairly strong and had well thought out strategies. It also weighed out the pros and cons of each strategy very well. I agree that these are the proper actions that the United States should take regarding this issue.

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  6. I found the memo very insightful about the BRI. It was very valuable that the memo addressed all aspects (economic, political, and climate) regarding the BRI. I think that the recommended option would beneficial in countering the BRI, however I also think that the U.S. should approach this on a moral level, rather than just a political level to counter China's influence and expand its own interests.

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  7. Honestly, I had never heard of China's Belt and Road Initiative before reading this memo. I am glad that this group informed me on a plan that will effect over sixty-percent of the world's population and is considered the centerpiece of Chinese foreign policy. As far as sanctions as concerned, I believe the United States should not be quick to hit China with sanctions regarding the initiative. 130 nations have offered support for the initiative, so the U.S can not just make this a U.S versus China issue; it has ramifications that go beyond the Sino-American relationship. However, if the initiative evidently violates the economic sovereignty of central Asian countries, then the U.S should take a larger role.

    - Nick McNamee

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  8. This is a really interesting topic. I am glad to see that you chose to include the negative effects on the climate that the Belt and Road initiative has as well as other threats to American Interests. It is important to recognize the disregard for many global goals that China exhibits, only one of which has to do with climate change. Especially since China has put on a front that they are interested in counteracting climate change in the global arena, it is important for the security of the United States' influence to acknowledge China's actions in this behavior.

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  9. I really enjoyed this memo a lot, and such actions and decisions made towards this issue have been well thought out. It is quite important to be informative about such things like the BRI, and this memo did a great job explaining it through and the solutions to be taken.

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  10. This memo is a very effective example of showing the global interest held even for domestic projects in foreign countries, in this case, China. Your focus on the environmental effects that this initiative will have and how it could offset many of the efforts globally towards reducing emmisions, as well as the strategic disadvantages that are provided. I wish you tied a few more current events in to the cons, but ultimately you did a great job with this issue!

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  11. I really like the layout of the memo and how it is full of detail. It sparked interest because I never have looked into this problem at all, and it gave me applied new knowledge. Global interest heled in China to focus on environmental effects was very informative. Overall, this was a well-organized memo and enjoyable to read.

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  12. I have never heard of the Belt Road initiative so I really enjoyed reading your memo. I think it was a great topic choice because there are so many things in China that seem to be more well-known but this seems to be an important aspect of their infrastructure and international presence. I wonder if the Paris Climate Accord plays a role in the environment affects of this infrastructure and how the policies tie together. I think you did a great job of explaining different alternatives and how they would negatively and positively affect the U.S. I wonder if sanctions would have similar effects to the sanctions placed on Russia and can the US afford to impose any more sanctions on other global powers.

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  13. Great piece, i think it sheds a lot of light onto the issue. But i think more fundamentally its not that the initiative is inherently BAD as it presents a massive interconnection of trade routes (a new Silk Road as it has been called), rather it is being implemented *carelessly* and as cheaply as possible. For instance, some of the provisions I am aware of are the signing over of land to either the Chinese government or Chinese companies who are in a vast majority of cases the companies receiving the funds to carry out construction on top of the aforementioned corruption and predatory lending/financing. I think a more reasonable approach is to go in with China (as G7) countries and subsidise their builds to ensure they are done *right* building diplomatic connections with Beijing and these developing nations at the same time to ensure this network remains a global one and not an exclusive economic zone for China and its allies.

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  14. This memo was very insightful, and used many peer-reviewed sources to back up all of the information contained within. Before reading this memo, I didn't know a whole lot regarding the BRI, however, you do a good job explaining what it is and the pros and cons of the BRI. Although the argument to have the U.S. create alternatives is very persuasive, I feel that it would be extremely difficult to pass such an alternative in the hyper-polarized Congress that we have today. Additionally, an alternative to the BRI would likely be extremely expensive, especially if the U.S. were going to handle the project in an environmentally friendly way; an expensive project such as this, especially during a time when inflation is at its 50 year highest and the national debt higher than ever in United States history, it's best that the U.S. really consider the effects that such a plan would have domestically, in the near future, before full out creating an alternative to the BRI, which has 146 members already enrolled. Overall, this memo was very well put together, but I disagree with the conclusion, and believe that the U.S. should try to address their concerns directly with China before creating a program which will directly compete with theirs.

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